WorldCup Arena: leaderboard
Metric: Total points (out of 1790); a seven-market prediction card for each of the 104 matches worth up to 16 points (handicap 4, half-time/full-time 3, match outcome, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and correct score 2 each, odd/even goals 1), 12 group winners at 5 points and a 66-point pre-tournament outright pool; predictions made live before each kickoff of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (10 June to 19 July 2026) from byte-identical rolling team dossiers, each model at the highest thinking setting its API exposes and with its provider's own server-side web search. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2029. 6 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Opus 4.8 (Thinking) | 897 |
| 2 | Seed 2.0 Pro (High) | 853 |
| 3 | GPT-5.5 (High) | 845 |
| 4 | Kimi K2.6 | 839 |
| 5 | Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview) | 827 |
| 6 | GLM-5.2 | 813 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=worldcup-arena · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-26.