UnpredictaBench - Shuffling: leaderboard

KS@100 on the 19 Shuffling problems, which ask for a uniformly random ordering of a list of items, from UnpredictaBench (2026), a benchmark of sampling from target distributions: the percent of problems for which 100 samples from the model, drawn at temperature 1.0 with reasoning off, are not rejected by a two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test against ground-truth samples at p below 0.0001. Higher is better.

Metric: KS@100 (%): share of the 19 Shuffling problems (random orderings of items) for which 100 samples from the model (100 independent calls at temperature 1.0, reasoning effort none, up to 5 retries for a parseable answer) are not rejected by a two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test against ground-truth samples at p < 0.0001; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. 20 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Llama 3.2 1B Instruct36.84#9047
2OLMo 3 7B Instruct36.84#6860
3DeepSeek V3.2 (Non-reasoning)36.84#406 (DeepSeek V3.2)
4Qwen 3.5 2B (Non-reasoning)36.84#4810 (Qwen 3.5 2B)
5nemotron-3-nano-30B-a3B (Non-reasoning)31.58#1875 (nemotron-3-nano-30B-a3B)
6Llama 3.1 70B Instruct21.05#1546
7Llama 3.1 8B Instruct15.79#4246
8GPT-4o5.26#741
9Ministral-3-3B-Instruct-25125.26#2579
10Qwen 3.5 397B A17B (Non-reasoning)5.26#246 (Qwen 3.5 397B A17B)
11Claude Sonnet 4.60#161
12GPT-4o Mini0#1623
13Mistral Large 30#817
14Qwen 3 32B (Non-reasoning)0#960 (Qwen 3 32B)
15Phi-3.5-mini-instruct0#5733

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=unpredictabench-shuffling · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.