UAV-DualCog - Future Observation Prediction: leaderboard

UAV-DualCog (2026) evaluates multimodal LLMs on self-state and environment-state reasoning of a UAV in simulated aerial scenes, with structured answers in instant mode. This board asks which view the UAV will see after a candidate action; answer accuracy over 1,024 items in percent, higher is better.

Metric: Answer accuracy (%; 1,024 questions asking which view the UAV will see after a candidate action; structured JSON answers on renders of simulated AerialVLN scenes, the discrete answer scored whatever the predicted box or interval; instant mode with explicit thinking disabled where a model allows it; higher is better). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2029. 36 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.5 (Non-reasoning)53.4#49 (GPT-5.5)
2Qwen 3.5 122B A10B (Non-reasoning)37.8#331 (Qwen 3.5 122B A10B)
3GPT-5.4 (Non-reasoning)37.6#123 (GPT-5.4)
4GPT-5.3 Instant37.3#130
5Qwen 3.5 27B (Non-reasoning)37.1#359 (Qwen 3.5 27B)
6Qwen 3.5 397B A17B (Non-reasoning)35.8#246 (Qwen 3.5 397B A17B)
7Qwen 3.7 Plus (Non-reasoning)34.6#207 (Qwen 3.7 Plus)
8Qwen 3.6 Plus (Non-reasoning)33.5#222 (Qwen 3.6 Plus)
9Kimi K2.5 (Non-reasoning)32.7#256 (Kimi K2.5)
10Kimi K2.6 (Non-reasoning)32.3#178 (Kimi K2.6)
11Qwen 3.5 4B (Non-reasoning)30.2#1175 (Qwen 3.5 4B)
12Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite (Non-reasoning)30.1#364 (Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite)
13Qwen 3.5 9B (Non-reasoning)29#803 (Qwen 3.5 9B)
14Qwen 3.5 35B A3B (Non-reasoning)27.4#482 (Qwen 3.5 35B A3B)
15MiMo-V2.5 (Non-reasoning)27.3#354 (MiMo-V2.5)

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=uav-dualcog-future-observation-prediction · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.