TraceBench (High Noise, Program): leaderboard

TraceBench (2026) generates controlled time-series root-cause attribution tasks from interpretable mechanical simulators, where an LLM agent decides whether and which system parameter changed; chance is about 19 percent. Episode accuracy under high observation noise when the agent submits a Python program, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy (%; high observation noise; the agent must submit a Python program mapping each observation to a predicted label; controlled root-cause attribution tasks generated from three interpretable mechanical simulators (BallDrop, BounceBall, MassSlide): the agent reads time-series observations and decides whether a system parameter was altered and which one; chance 0.189, mean over three simulators). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 4 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.5 (High)73.3#48 (GPT-5.5)
2Claude Opus 4.6 (High)59.3#100 (Claude Opus 4.6)
3Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview) (High)54.7#91 (Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview))
4MiniMax-M2.735.3#519

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=tracebench-high-noise-program · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.