TimeSeriesExam - Causality Analysis: leaderboard
Metric: Accuracy (%, times 100) on the causality analysis (63 questions on two series) questions of TimeSeriesExam, 763 multiple-choice questions on synthetic series generated from over 100 expert-curated templates and refined over rounds with item response theory to separate candidate models; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 4 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPT-4o | 61 |
| 2 | Gemini 2.5 Pro | 57 |
| 3 | Gemma 3 27B (IT) | 51 |
| 4 | Qwen 2.5 VL 72B Instruct | 49 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=timeseriesexam-causality-analysis · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.