TimeLitmus - Traffic Natural Prediction: leaderboard

Metric: Natural accuracy (%; 420 Traffic records of TraffiDent roadway incidents with three ordered response classes from observed post-report buckets; ten LLMs with deterministic decoding where available, invalid or unparsable outputs scored incorrect). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2034. 10 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Qwen Plus42.1
2DeepSeek R1 052841
3Qwen 3.5 9B40.7
4Qwen 3.5 4B38.6
5Claude Sonnet 4.637.9
6MiniMax-M337.1
7DeepSeek V4 Flash36.9
8Gemini 3.5 Flash35.2
9GLM-535
10GPT-5.434.5

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=timelitmus-traffic-natural-prediction · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-26.