TimeLitmus - Finance Hard Paired Contrasts: leaderboard

Hard paired contrasts in TimeLitmus (Gong et al., 2026): 360 naturally occurring pairs of similar Finance event and price inputs that require different responses, each endpoint evaluated independently. A pair counts only when both predictions are correct; pair correctness in percent, higher is better.

Metric: Hard paired contrast pair correctness (%; both endpoints correct on 360 naturally occurring similar Finance pairs with different gold responses; ten LLMs with deterministic decoding where available, invalid or unparsable outputs scored incorrect). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Not forecast. 10 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GLM-519.2#256
2DeepSeek V4 Flash16.7#254
3DeepSeek R1 052816.1#425
4Claude Sonnet 4.615#158
5MiniMax-M313.9#265
6Qwen 3.5 4B12.2#1180
7Gemini 3.5 Flash9.4#98
8Qwen Plus8.9#788
9GPT-5.48.6#121
10Qwen 3.5 9B3.3#803

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=timelitmus-finance-hard-paired-contrasts · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.