TimeBlind - Structural Event Logic: leaderboard

Metric: Instance accuracy (%) on the TimeBlind Structural Event Logic instances (temporal topology, causal contingency and cross-event comparison: how events compose); an instance counts only when all four video-question trials of its minimal pair are answered correctly; TimeBlind minimal pairs: two short videos with the same static content that differ only in temporal structure, each asked two complementary binary or two-choice questions whose answers flip between the videos; videos sampled at 1 FPS, zero-shot, default model configurations; chance is 6.3%; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around January 2027. 4 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 3 Pro58.3#77
2GPT-548.4#91
3Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B Instruct19.3#264
4Molmo2-8B18.8#522

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=timeblind-structural-event-logic · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.