ThermEval - Temperature Estimation (Coordinates): leaderboard

Metric: Mean absolute error (degrees Celsius, 0 or more) on Task 6, the temperature at given pixel coordinates of a ThermEval-D image with axes and a colorbar (2,400 questions); zero-shot with fixed one-word or one-number prompts, a single forward pass; Gemini 2.5 models parse free-form answers into the label or number only when the output deviates from the format; lower is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around April 2027. 24 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 3 Pro1.94#77
2Gemini 3 Flash1.96#93
3InternVL3-14B2.6#494
4InternVL3-38B2.97#395
5Llama 3.2 11B Instruct3#1112
6Qwen 2.5 VL 7B Instruct3.21#643
7Qwen 2 VL 7B Instruct3.28#816
8Gemini 2.5 Pro3.47#145
9Qwen 2.5 VL 32B Instruct3.57#443
10Gemini 2.5 Flash4.34#237
11MiniCPM-V-2.69.16#825
12InternVL3-8B31.92#606

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=thermeval-temperature-estimation-coordinates · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.