TFRBench - Web Traffic - Logic-to-Number Consistency: leaderboard

Metric: Mean LLM-judge score (1-5) for logic-to-number consistency of the model's chain-of-thought forecasting reasoning on the TFRBench daily web traffic (Monash archive, web/cloud operations) windows, judged by Gemini 3 Pro against the benchmark's verified reference reasoning (w/ Reasoning setting: the model reasons step by step from the history window, then forecasts; no tools; mean of three runs); higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 5 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Gemini 3 Pro4.9
2Gemini 2.5 Pro4.69
3Gemini 2.5 Flash4.4
4Claude Sonnet 4.53.73
5Claude Sonnet 43.1

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=tfrbench-web-traffic-logic-to-number-consistency · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.