TFRBench - Traffic - Event Relevance: leaderboard

Metric: Mean LLM-judge score (1-5) for event relevance of the model's chain-of-thought forecasting reasoning on the TFRBench hourly road occupancy (transportation) windows, judged by Gemini 3 Pro against the benchmark's verified reference reasoning (w/ Reasoning setting: the model reasons step by step from the history window, then forecasts; no tools; mean of three runs); higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 5 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Claude Sonnet 4.52.49
2Gemini 3 Pro2.25
3Gemini 2.5 Pro1.9
4Claude Sonnet 41.47
5Gemini 2.5 Flash1.44

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=tfrbench-traffic-event-relevance · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.