TFRBench - NYC Taxi - Logic-to-Number Consistency: leaderboard

Metric: Mean LLM-judge score (1-5) for logic-to-number consistency of the model's chain-of-thought forecasting reasoning on the TFRBench hourly NYC taxi demand (transportation) windows, judged by Gemini 3 Pro against the benchmark's verified reference reasoning (w/ Reasoning setting: the model reasons step by step from the history window, then forecasts; no tools; mean of three runs); higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 5 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Gemini 3 Pro4.87
2Gemini 2.5 Pro4.36
3Gemini 2.5 Flash4.33
4Claude Sonnet 42.87
5Claude Sonnet 4.52.77

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=tfrbench-nyc-taxi-logic-to-number-consistency · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.