Text2DistBench - Distribution Estimation: leaderboard

Metric: 1 minus total variation distance (0-1) between the predicted and empirical opinion distribution of viewer comments, averaged over marginal, conditional and joint questions, 20 movie and music entities released July-October 2025; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around January 2027. 6 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1GPT-5.10.88
2Grok 4 Fast0.87
3Gemini 2.5 Pro0.86
4Claude Sonnet 4.50.85
5Llama 3.3 70B0.81
6Qwen 3 32B0.69

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=text2distbench-distribution-estimation · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.