SuperGLUE COPA: leaderboard

Choice of Plausible Alternatives (Roemmele et al., 2011), a SuperGLUE task: given a premise, pick which of two alternatives is its more plausible cause or effect. Archived Papers With Code table of accuracies as each paper reported them, under that paper’s own setup; higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy. Source: huggingface.co. Saturation forecast: Rough model projection: around 2026. 60 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1PaLM 540B (finetuned)100
2Vega v2 6B (KD-based prompt transfer)99.4
3ST-MoE-32B 269B (fine-tuned)99.2
4UL2 20B (fine-tuned)99
5DeBERTa-Ensemble98.4
6Turing NLR v5 XXL 5.4B (fine-tuned)98.2
7DeBERTa-1.5B96.8
8PaLM 2-L (1-shot)96
9T5-XXL 11B (fine-tuned)94.8
10FLAN 137B (prompt-tuned)94

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=superglue-copa · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.