STQA - Forecast Reasoning - Extreme Value: leaderboard
Metric: Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around December 2026. 4 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemma 4 31B | 82.5 |
| 2 | GPT-OSS-120B | 76 |
| 3 | GPT-OSS-20B | 56 |
| 4 | Qwen 3 30B A3B | 44.5 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=stqa-forecast-reasoning-extreme-value · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-24.