StatABench - Confidence Interval: leaderboard

StatABench (2026) tests LLM statistical analysis with tool use: Stat-Closed questions (multiple choice, fill in the blank, decision making and dataset-based practical application) are answered with a toolkit of statistical functions through LangChain MCP. This board is accuracy in percent on the 11 confidence interval questions; higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy (%) on the 11 confidence interval questions of Stat-Closed; Stat-Closed questions (multiple choice, fill in the blank, decision making, practical application with datasets) answered with the SAToolKit statistical functions through the LangChain MCP baseline tool-use setting, temperature 0; direct matching for closed answers and an LLM judge for open-form answers; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 9 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1DeepSeek V363.6#716
2GPT-5.154.5#229
3Claude Sonnet 4.545.5#250
4Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct45.5#1092
5Qwen 2.5 32B Instruct27.3#1215
6Llama 3.1 8B Instruct18.2#4246
7Qwen 2.5 7B Instruct18.2#2564
8Qwen 3 8B (Non-reasoning)18.2#1830 (Qwen 3 8B)
9GPT-4o Mini9.1#1623

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=statabench-confidence-interval · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.