SocietyBench: leaderboard
Metric: Overall score (0-100): mean of the calibration and temporal axes; five real social events (Wuhan Library, US-Iran, TikTok, SMCI, Trump Tariff) anonymized into counterfactual worlds, 25 prediction points each, averaged over the Chinese and English editions; temperature 0; trivial anchor 50. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around December 2026. 6 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPT-5.5 | 75 |
| 2 | Gemini 3.5 Flash | 70.6 |
| 3 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 66.3 |
| 4 | DeepSeek V4 Pro | 63.7 |
| 5 | Kimi K2.5 | 63.4 |
| 6 | Seed 2.0 Pro | 63.4 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=societybench · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.