Self-Explanation Simulatability (NSG): leaderboard

How much a model's own explanation of its answer helps five separate predictor models anticipate that same model's behaviour on related counterfactuals, over 7,000 items in health, business and ethics. Normalized simulatability gain divides the accuracy improvement by the headroom available, so it reads as faithfulness of self-explanation rather than raw predictability. Higher is better. Source: arxiv.org/abs/2602.02639.

Metric: Normalized Simulatability Gain (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Not forecast. 18 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemma 3 4B36.51#1086
2Qwen 3 32B35.61#449
3Gemma 3 27B34.92#606
4GPT-5.234.72#114
5GPT-5 Mini34.25#192
6Qwen 3 14B33.9#542
7Claude Sonnet 4.533.78#148
8Gemma 3 12B33.74#674
9GPT-5 Nano32.81#438
10Gemini 3 Flash30.79#105
11Qwen 3 8B29.24#679
12Gemini 3 Pro28.38#83
13Claude Opus 4.528.38#88
14Claude Haiku 4.526.8#288
15Qwen 3 4B24.19#835

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #6 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=self-explanation-simulatability-nsg · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-06.