SciR - Causal Easy: leaderboard

Metric: Accuracy (%) on the 200 easy-tier SciR causal tasks (causal abduction over the Sachs signalling network), rendered as plain natural-language premises (NL); the model reasons with chain-of-thought directly from the task text, temperature 0; answers are checked against the generating formal object; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 6 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1DeepSeek R199.5
2O3 Mini98
3Qwen 3 30B A3B 2507 Instruct75.5
4GPT-4o50.5
5Llama 3.3 70B Instruct40
6Olmo 3.1 32B Instruct5.5

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=scir-causal-easy · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.