RoboProcessBench - Outcome Prediction: leaderboard

RoboProcessBench (2026) asks vision-language models multiple-choice questions about how a robot manipulation is unfolding, using frames and short clips from held-out recordings of four robot datasets. This task asks whether the ongoing attempt will eventually succeed, with 2 options; accuracy in percent, higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy (%) on 793 questions asking whether the ongoing attempt will eventually succeed (2 options, chance 50.0); zero-shot multiple-choice VQA on held-out robot manipulation recordings from GM-100, RH20T, REASSEMBLE and AIST-Bimanual (ProcessData-Eval), temperature 0.01; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1InternVL3-8B61.9#1688
2GPT-5.4 Mini56.1#389
3InternVL3-38B55.9#903
4Qwen 2.5 VL 7B Instruct54.6#1833
5GLM-4.6V53#701
6Claude Sonnet 4.649.7#161
7Claude Haiku 4.546.2#568
8GPT-4o41.1#741

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=roboprocessbench-outcome-prediction · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.