RealICU (Local Window) - Action Recommendation: leaderboard

RealICU (Shen et al., 2026) replays MIMIC-IV intensive-care stays in 30-minute windows and scores an LLM against hindsight labels from senior ICU physicians on the 930 windows of RealICU-Gold. Action Recommendation: Hit@5 (0-1), the share of windows whose top five recommended actions include one the physicians labelled, higher is better. Local-window protocol: the model sees only the current window.

Metric: Hit@5 (0-1; share of windows whose top-5 recommended actions include a physician-labelled action, PubMedBERT semantic matching; local-window strategy, only the current window in the prompt). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around October 2028. 3 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)0.4#91
2GPT-5.40.38#121
3Qwen 3 235B A22B0.35#622

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=realicu-local-window-action-recommendation · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.