RealICU (Full Context) - Action Recommendation: leaderboard

RealICU (Shen et al., 2026) replays MIMIC-IV intensive-care stays in 30-minute windows and scores an LLM against hindsight labels from senior ICU physicians on the 930 windows of RealICU-Gold. Action Recommendation: Hit@5 (0-1), the share of windows whose top five recommended actions include one the physicians labelled, higher is better. Full-context protocol: the model sees every observation recorded up to the window.

Metric: Hit@5 (0-1; share of windows whose top-5 recommended actions include a physician-labelled action, PubMedBERT semantic matching; full-context strategy, all prior observations in the prompt). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2030. 3 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.40.4#121
2Qwen 3 235B A22B0.33#622
3Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)0.26#91

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=realicu-full-context-action-recommendation · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.