Proof of Time - 15-Message Budget: leaderboard

The Proof of Time forecasting tasks and offline tool-using agent with the interaction limit cut to 15 messages. Sample-weighted exact-match accuracy (%), higher is better (Proof of Time, Ye, Chen et al., Harvard University and Mass General Brigham, 2026).

Metric: Sample-Weighted Accuracy (%), 15-message agent budget. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Not forecast. 11 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 3 Pro (Preview)27.2#111
2Gemini 2.5 Pro26.7#262
3GPT-5.126.7#225
4GPT-5 Mini22.3#349
5GPT-5 Nano21.7#888
6Gemini 3 Flash (Preview)20.3#141
7GPT-5.217.9#172
8Gemini 2.5 Flash17.2#452
9Claude Opus 4.516.7#152
10Claude Haiku 4.58.4#568
11Claude Sonnet 4.52.9#244

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=proof-of-time-15-message-budget · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.