Progress-Bench: leaderboard

Progress-Bench, from PROGRESSLM (Zhang et al., 2026), asks vision-language models to estimate how far a robot manipulation task has progressed (0-100%) from one observation and a demonstration, over 3,325 observations from 240 RoboMind trajectories. Progress rank correlation is the Spearman correlation (x100) between predicted and true progress along each trajectory, averaged over trajectories and micro-averaged over key-frame and step-text demonstrations; higher is better, from -100 to 100. Scores are direct predictions, made without prompted reasoning.

Metric: Progress rank correlation (Spearman x 100 between predicted and true progress along each trajectory, averaged over trajectories; answerable items with vision- and text-based demonstrations, micro-averaged; direct prediction). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 12 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-582.5#163
2GPT-5 Mini81.1#349
3Qwen 2.5 VL 7B31#1796

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=progress-bench · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.