PreScam - Termination Prediction AUPR: leaderboard

Metric: Area under the precision-recall curve (%, average precision) of the turn-level risk scores, positives being the final turns before the termination phase, for real-time termination prediction on the PreScam test conversations (an 80/20 split by scam case of 11,573 BBB Scam Tracker conversations structured into a scam kill chain): after each turn the model outputs a 0-1 risk that the scammer's next turn enters the termination (payment) phase, zero-shot at temperature 0; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2028. 4 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1DeepSeek V3.247.3
2Qwen 3 235B A22B45.2
3GPT-4o Mini44.9
4Grok 4.1 Fast41.9

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=prescam-termination-prediction-aupr · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.