ORCA-bench: leaderboard

Root-cause analysis of incidents: given the symptoms and the telemetry, name what actually broke. Accuracy sits between 15 and 31 percent, so the gap to a competent on-call engineer is still wide.

Metric: Root-Cause Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around August 2028. 5 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Sonnet 4.630.9#90
2Claude Opus 4.728.6#49
3GPT-5.524.3#31
4GLM-517.6#141
5DeepSeek V4 Pro15#102

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=orca-bench · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-20.