MUN-vis (Zero-Shot): leaderboard

Abductive commonsense reasoning from the MUN-vis task of Multimodal UNcommonsense (Son et al., 2026): given an image that looks odd and an ordinary outcome, the model explains how the outcome makes sense. Win rate in percent against human-written explanations refined by GPT-4o, judged pairwise by GPT-4o in the AlpacaEval style, with no in-context examples; higher is better.

Metric: Win rate (%; share of MUN-vis items where a GPT-4o judge, AlpacaEval-style, prefers the model's explanation (explain why a visually odd image leads to an ordinary outcome) over the human-written, GPT-4o-refined reference; zero-shot). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 7 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Phi-4 Multimodal Instruct41#3914
2Qwen 2.5 VL 7B Instruct36.4#1842
3Gemma 3 4B (IT)33.5#3848
4Qwen 2 VL 7B Instruct22.5#2569

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=mun-vis-zero-shot · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.