MTBBench-Longitudinal - Recurrence: leaderboard

Recurrence questions of the MTBBench longitudinal track (Vasilev et al., 2025): from a cancer patient's evolving clinical timeline and genomic data the agent predicts recurrence within a stated period. Accuracy in percent, no tools; higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy (%; recurrence questions over the evolving clinical timeline; multi-turn file access, no tools). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 8 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Llama 3.3 70B Instruct [4bit]56.7#1221
2GPT-4o (2024-08-06)54.8#731
3O4 Mini (2025-04-16)51.1#362

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=mtbbench-longitudinal-recurrence · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.