MTBBench-Longitudinal - Outcome: leaderboard
Metric: Accuracy (%; outcome-prediction questions over the evolving clinical timeline; multi-turn file access, no tools). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around December 2026. 8 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPT-4o (2024-08-06) | 72.9 |
| 2 | O4 Mini (2025-04-16) | 66 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=mtbbench-longitudinal-outcome · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-26.