MLS-Bench (Vanilla) - Time Series and Forecasting: leaderboard

Metric: Mean normalized task score (0-100): each metric is anchored so the worst reproduced human baseline scores 0 and the best 50 (a metric's theoretical optimum maps to 100), metrics are averaged with human weights within a setting and by geometric mean across at least three generalization settings, over the 10 MLS-Bench tasks of the Time Series and Forecasting area; Vanilla protocol: the score of the model's first tested proposal (tools: edit, test, submit, undo); high reasoning effort with a 10,000-token thinking budget, web search disabled, fixed seeds; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2029. 5 models tracked.

Top models

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=mls-bench-vanilla-time-series-and-forecasting · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.