MedPIC-Bench - Counterfactual: leaderboard

Accuracy on MedPIC-Bench counterfactual questions, where a controlled change in patient information changes whether a medication-safety rule applies (MedPIC-Bench, arXiv 2608.03028v1, Table 2). Percent; higher is better; every evaluated model scores lower here than on guideline-following questions.

Metric: Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around May 2027. 28 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)69.9#64
2GPT-563.4#105
3Qwen 3.5 Plus57.9#133
4GPT-OSS-120B56.8#346
5DeepSeek V4 Pro56.8#112
6Qwen 3.5 27B55.7#192
7Qwen 3.5 35B A3B54.6#268
8GPT-5.252.5#115
9Claude Sonnet 4.648.1#94
10Qwen 3.5 9B48.1#391
11GPT-OSS-20B47.5#523
12Llama 3.1 70B47#588
13Gemini 2.5 Pro44.8#159
14Llama 3.1 8B33.3#1130
15Gemma 3 27B33.3#606

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=medpic-bench-counterfactual · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.