MacroLens - Private Company Valuation: leaderboard
Metric: Median absolute percentage error (%; market-capitalization estimate for the 1,324-ticker holdout with every price-derived input and the derived valuation-ratio block removed; per-instance APE capped at 1,000%; daily granularity; zero-shot LLM with reasoning disabled). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 4 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPT-5.1 (Non-reasoning) | 66.23 |
| 2 | Llama 4 Scout | 68.92 |
| 3 | Qwen 3.5 27B (Non-reasoning) | 73.42 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=macrolens-private-company-valuation · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-26.