LongVidSearch - Causal Inference (3-Hop): leaderboard

Metric: Accuracy (%) on the 282 Causal Inference questions that need exactly 3 evidence clips, judged against the reference by exact match or by majority vote of three LLM judges (GPT-5, Gemini 3 Pro, GPT-4o); the backbone drives a fixed VideoAgent-style framework that retrieves clips and reads their captions through a standard tool interface; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around May 2027. 10 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-543.97#91
2Qwen 2.5 VL 72B Instruct21.99#364
3Gemini 3 Pro20.92#77
4GPT-4o12.77#333
5Qwen 2.5 VL 7B Instruct5.05#643

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=longvidsearch-causal-inference-3-hop · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.