Know2Guess: leaderboard

Know2Guess (2026) tests knowledge-boundary behavior across five domains: models should answer questions with a unique supported answer (zones A to C) and abstain on programmatically built synthetic-unknown questions (zone D). The board is reliability in percent on the 1,080-item test split: correct answers on zones A to C plus abstentions on zone D, over all items; higher is better.

Metric: Reliability (0-1 scaled to %): the share of test items handled correctly, a correct answer on the answer-expected zones A to C and an abstention on the synthetic-unknown zone D (no hidden gold answer); standard prompt on the 1,080-item test split, greedy decoding with at most 128 or 160 output tokens, no retrieval or tools; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 9 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Qwen 3.5 9B (Non-reasoning)57.04#803 (Qwen 3.5 9B)
2Mistral Small 3.253.98#1591
3Qwen 3 8B (Non-reasoning)47.22#1830 (Qwen 3 8B)
4Qwen 2.5 3B Instruct38.15#5150
5Llama 3 8B Instruct35.46#4612
6Qwen 2.5 1.5B Instruct15.74#7470

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=know2guess · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.