InterveneBench - Model Type: leaderboard
Metric: Rubric component score (0-1, times 100) for causal inference method choice (DiD, IV, RDD, synthetic control, matching), binary per study, on InterveneBench's 74-study 2025 test set (each instance an empirical social-science study of a real policy intervention; the model proposes the causal study design from the policy context, without causal graphs); a Gemini-3-Pro grader compares the design with the expert-verified ground truth; direct inference; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Not forecast. 12 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score | Overall rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Sonnet 4 | 54.1 | #194 |
| 2 | GLM-4.6 | 53.5 | #246 |
| 3 | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | 51.9 | #241 |
| 4 | GPT-5.1 | 49.3 | #131 |
| 5 | Gemini 2.5 Pro | 47.7 | #145 |
| 6 | Qwen 3 235B A22B | 45.6 | #304 |
| 7 | GPT-4.1 | 44.5 | #240 |
| 8 | Gemini 3 Flash | 44.5 | #93 |
| 9 | GPT-OSS-120B | 43.5 | #330 |
| 10 | Grok 4 | 42.4 | #169 |
| 11 | DeepSeek V3.2 | 37.3 | #198 |
| 12 | Kimi K2 | 36.1 | #236 |
No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=intervenebench-model-type · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.