InterveneBench - Group Definition: leaderboard

Metric: Rubric component score (0-1, times 100) for definition of the treatment and control groups (full or half credit), on InterveneBench's 74-study 2025 test set (each instance an empirical social-science study of a real policy intervention; the model proposes the causal study design from the policy context, without causal graphs); a Gemini-3-Pro grader compares the design with the expert-verified ground truth; direct inference; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around December 2027. 12 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Sonnet 454.1#194
2Claude 3.7 Sonnet53.5#241
3GPT-5.153.5#131
4GLM-4.653.3#246
5Gemini 2.5 Pro47.7#145
6Gemini 3 Flash47.7#93
7Qwen 3 235B A22B46.1#304
8Grok 444.5#169
9GPT-4.143#240
10Kimi K241.4#236
11GPT-OSS-120B40.3#330
12DeepSeek V3.239.2#198

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=intervenebench-group-definition · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.