Ideation Arena - Significance: leaderboard

Ideation Arena (arXiv 2608.29696v1, Table 2): research proposals from 14 LLMs and five research-agent workflows on GPT-4o and DeepSeek V3.2, all given the same closed citation context, compared in 6,441 double-blind pairwise votes by 105 computer-science researchers. Bradley-Terry Elo for importance of the problem addressed; higher is better.

Metric: Elo (Bradley-Terry over expert pairwise votes). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around April 2027. 24 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.11236.8#145
2Claude Opus 4.51149.2#87
3Claude Sonnet 4.51146.3#148
4Kimi K2 (Thinking)1103.2#252 (Kimi K2)
5Mistral Large 31091.4#410
6DeepSeek V3.21089.1#210
7GLM-4.71058.7#202
8O31051.7#132
9Gemini 3 Pro (Preview)1049.5#71
10Gemini 3 Flash (Preview)1038#90
11Grok 4 Fast1002.1#266
12Grok 4958.9#189
13Qwen 3 Max929.5#213
14GPT-4o866.9#357

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=ideation-arena-significance · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.