HypoArena - Financial Analysis: leaderboard

The financial analysis domain of HypoArena (2026), 114 cases: the Bradley-Terry-Davidson rating, anchored at 1500 with no fixed maximum, from pairwise judgments by seed-2.0-pro of the hypothesis sets each model proposes. Higher is better.

Metric: Rating on the 114 financial analysis cases: Bradley-Terry-Davidson rating (base 1500, open-ended) from reference-independent pairwise judgments by seed-2.0-pro, both presentation orders, with the source-derived reference hypothesis set as an anonymous competitor; baseline single-pass generation; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around September 2027. 15 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Sonnet 4.6 (High)1739.2#161 (Claude Sonnet 4.6)
2Claude Opus 4.6 (High)1670.3#102 (Claude Opus 4.6)
3GPT-5.4 (High)1636.2#123 (GPT-5.4)
4Kimi K2.61601#178
5GLM-5.11563.7#179
6DeepSeek V4 Pro (High)1533.2#188 (DeepSeek V4 Pro)
7MiniMax-M2.71517.2#518
8DeepSeek V4 Flash (High)1493.8#258 (DeepSeek V4 Flash)
9GLM-51485#260
10GPT-5.4 Mini (High)1440.7#389 (GPT-5.4 Mini)
11MiniMax-M2.51424.8#582
12Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview) (High)1335.7#94 (Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview))
13Kimi K2.5 (Thinking)1266.1#256 (Kimi K2.5)
14Gemini 3 Flash (High)1250.7#164 (Gemini 3 Flash)

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=hypoarena-financial-analysis · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.