Hedge-Bench - Operational Strategy Pass@1: leaderboard

Metric: Pass@1 (%): share of trials in the Operational Strategy task category that earned a perfect 4 of 4 rubric score; 102 open-ended financial-analyst research tasks derived from recorded expert analyst discussions, run in the Harbor harness with the Terminus 2 agent over a sandboxed document corpus, eight trials per task, graded by a Gemini-3.1-Pro judge against expert rubric moves with hallucination-supported moves discounted; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2029. 8 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Claude Sonnet 4.611.9
2Gemini 3.5 Flash10.3
3GPT-5.510.2
4Claude Opus 4.710
5Claude Opus 4.89.6
6Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)4.1
7Claude Haiku 4.52.9
8GPT-5.4 Mini0.4

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=hedge-bench-operational-strategy-pass-1 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.