Hedge-Bench - Mergers and Acquisitions Pass@1: leaderboard

Metric: Pass@1 (%): share of trials in the M&A task category that earned a perfect 4 of 4 rubric score; 102 open-ended financial-analyst research tasks derived from recorded expert analyst discussions, run in the Harbor harness with the Terminus 2 agent over a sandboxed document corpus, eight trials per task, graded by a Gemini-3.1-Pro judge against expert rubric moves with hallucination-supported moves discounted; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2029. 8 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Claude Opus 4.715.6
2Claude Sonnet 4.615.2
3Claude Opus 4.88.6
4GPT-5.56.7
5Gemini 3.5 Flash6.7
6Claude Haiku 4.51.1
7Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)0
8GPT-5.4 Mini0

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=hedge-bench-mergers-and-acquisitions-pass-1 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.