Hedge-Bench - Growth and Expansion Pass@1: leaderboard

Metric: Pass@1 (%): share of trials in the Growth & Expansion task category that earned a perfect 4 of 4 rubric score; 102 open-ended financial-analyst research tasks derived from recorded expert analyst discussions, run in the Harbor harness with the Terminus 2 agent over a sandboxed document corpus, eight trials per task, graded by a Gemini-3.1-Pro judge against expert rubric moves with hallucination-supported moves discounted; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around September 2028. 8 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Claude Sonnet 4.620
2Claude Opus 4.717.2
3GPT-5.516.7
4Claude Opus 4.815.6
5Gemini 3.5 Flash10.1
6Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)5.7
7Claude Haiku 4.53.6
8GPT-5.4 Mini1.5

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=hedge-bench-growth-and-expansion-pass-1 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.