Hedge-Bench - Competitive Positioning Pass@1: leaderboard

Metric: Pass@1 (%): share of trials in the Competitive Positioning task category that earned a perfect 4 of 4 rubric score; 102 open-ended financial-analyst research tasks derived from recorded expert analyst discussions, run in the Harbor harness with the Terminus 2 agent over a sandboxed document corpus, eight trials per task, graded by a Gemini-3.1-Pro judge against expert rubric moves with hallucination-supported moves discounted; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2033. 8 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Claude Sonnet 4.619.5
2Claude Opus 4.713.4
3Claude Haiku 4.510.3
4GPT-5.59
5Gemini 3.5 Flash9
6Claude Opus 4.82.5
7Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)2.1
8GPT-5.4 Mini1.4

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=hedge-bench-competitive-positioning-pass-1 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.