Guesswork 2026-09: leaderboard
Metric: MAE (z-score units). Source: theaggregate.ai. 32 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Qwen 3.7 Max | 0.59 |
| 2 | Claude Sonnet 5 | 0.61 |
| 3 | Claude Opus 5 | 0.62 |
| 4 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 0.62 |
| 5 | Grok 4.6 | 0.63 |
| 6 | GPT-5.1 | 0.64 |
| 7 | GPT-5.5 | 0.65 |
| 8 | GPT-5.6 Terra | 0.66 |
| 9 | Grok 4.3 | 0.66 |
| 10 | GPT-5.6 Luna | 0.69 |
| 11 | GLM-5.2 | 0.69 |
| 12 | Gemini 3.7 Flash | 0.7 |
| 13 | Kimi K2.6 | 0.73 |
| 14 | DeepSeek V4 Pro | 0.82 |
| 15 | Mistral Small 3 | 0.83 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=guesswork-2026-09 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-20.