Guesswork 2026-08: leaderboard
Metric: MAE (z-score units). Source: theaggregate.ai. 33 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Opus 5 | 0.89 |
| 2 | Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview) | 0.96 |
| 3 | Gemini 3.7 Flash | 0.97 |
| 4 | Grok 4.6 | 0.98 |
| 5 | Claude Sonnet 5 | 0.98 |
| 6 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 1 |
| 7 | GPT-5.5 | 1 |
| 8 | Ministral 3 14B | 1.02 |
| 9 | Kimi K2.6 | 1.03 |
| 10 | Gemma 3 4B (IT) | 1.05 |
| 11 | GPT-5.6 Luna | 1.05 |
| 12 | GPT-5.6 Terra | 1.06 |
| 13 | Mistral Small 3 | 1.08 |
| 14 | GPT-5.1 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Qwen 3.7 Max | 1.1 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=guesswork-2026-08 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-05.