Guesswork 2026-06: leaderboard
Metric: MAE (z-score units). Source: theaggregate.ai. 19 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Opus 5 | 0.72 |
| 2 | GPT-5.5 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Grok 4.6 | 0.79 |
| 4 | Claude Sonnet 5 | 0.79 |
| 5 | GPT-5.1 | 0.84 |
| 6 | Grok 4.3 | 0.9 |
| 7 | Kimi K2.6 | 0.91 |
| 8 | GLM-5.2 | 0.94 |
| 9 | Qwen 3.5 9B | 0.98 |
| 10 | Mistral Small 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ling-2.6-flash | 1.01 |
| 12 | Gemini 2.5 Pro | 1.03 |
| 13 | DeepSeek V4 Pro | 1.08 |
| 14 | GPT-OSS-20B | 1.23 |
| 15 | Mistral Nemo | 1.41 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=guesswork-2026-06 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-05.