GM League Arena - NBA Elo: leaderboard

GM League Arena (arXiv 2611.05147v1; called GM Bench in the paper) makes each LLM the general manager of one team in a shared simulated NBA league for five seasons (2022–2026), "managing players and assets through selection, trades, and contract renewals". Table 1 Elo is "the arithmetic mean of season-end ratings over the five seasons, with ratings initialized to 1500 at the start of each season", so it is relative to the other 29 teams in this league; a rule-based Native GM team takes part but is not a model row. "Configurable reasoning effort is set to high for every model that supports this setting"; each model has "one complete five-season run" and no confidence intervals are reported. Metric: Mean season-end Elo.

Metric: Mean season-end Elo over five simulated NBA seasons (2022-2026; ratings reset to 1500 each season, K=20, 400-point logistic scale; one shared league of 29 LLM general managers and a rule-based Native GM team; official APIs, high reasoning effort where supported; one full-horizon run per model). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around November 2027. 29 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Opus 5.51977.3#3
2GPT-6 Astra1907.7#5
3GPT-6.1 Sol1838.7#6
4Claude Sonnet 5.51813.3#14
5Claude Fable 5.11794.4#10
6Grok 4.71784.3#26
7Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)1753.1#65
8Grok 4.61713.6#30
9Kimi K31698.8#35
10DeepSeek V4 Pro1666.3#112
11GLM-5.31652.6#43
12Qwen 3.8 Max1602.5#34
13GPT-6 Luna1582.6#62
14Gemini 3.8 Flash1525.7#31
15GPT-5.6 Terra1499#41

No result here: #9 Gemini 4 Argon.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=gm-league-arena-nba-elo · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-06.