FutureX - Level 1 (Basic): leaderboard

FutureX Level 1 (Basic tier): single-choice questions with fewer than four options about real events that resolve after the prediction, answered by LLM search agents. Official runs from the newest week that has them, so the event set changes weekly. Higher is better, 0-100 (%); weighted 10% in the FutureX overall score.

Metric: Level 1 score (latest official week, %). Source: futurex.live. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.4 (High)66.67#83 (GPT-5.4)
2GPT-5.5 (High)66.67#33 (GPT-5.5)
3Gemini 3.5 Flash62.5#66
4Seed 2.0 Lite62.5#161
5Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview) (High)58.33#64 (Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview))
6Grok 4.20 (Reasoning)58.33#179 (Grok 4.20)
7DeepSeek V3.2 (Thinking)54.17#210 (DeepSeek V3.2)
8Qwen 3.7 Max54.17#85
9MiniMax-M2.750#270
10Qwen 3.6 Max Preview50#91
11Seed 2.0 Pro41.67#122
12DeepSeek V4 Flash37.5#155
13MiniMax-M333.33#151
14Grok 48.33#189

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=futurex-level-1-basic · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.