FutureSearch BTF-3 Binary: leaderboard

FutureSearch Bench to the Future 3 binary-question slice scored by Brier score.

Metric: Binary Brier Score. Source: evals.futuresearch.ai. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 8 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Opus 5 (xHigh)0.12#16 (Claude Opus 5)
2Claude Opus 4.8 (xHigh)0.13#39 (Claude Opus 4.8)
3Muse Spark 1.3 (xHigh)0.14#31 (Muse Spark 1.3)
4GPT-6 Astra (Low)0.14#6 (GPT-6 Astra)
5GPT-5.6 Sol (Medium)0.14#22 (GPT-5.6 Sol)
6Claude Sonnet 5 (xHigh)0.14#65 (Claude Sonnet 5)
7GLM-5.3 Flash0.15#77
8GLM-5.30.15#44

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol, #9 Gemini 4 Argon.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=futuresearch-btf-3-binary · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.