FutureSearch BTF-2 Refinement: leaderboard

FutureSearch Bench to the Future 2 refinement slice measuring forecast sharpness and discrimination.

Metric: Refinement. Source: evals.futuresearch.ai. Saturation forecast: Around 2030. 5 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Opus 4.60.08#63
2Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)0.07#58
3GPT-5.40.06#79
4Grok 4.200.04#175

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=futuresearch-btf-2-refinement · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-20.