FinTradeBench - Trading Signals: leaderboard

Metric: Normalized correctness: a calibrated Claude Sonnet 4.5 judge scores each answer against the expert-validated gold answer and golden indicators on a 1 to 5 scale, averaged and divided by 5, times 100 (20 to 100), on the trading-signal-focused (momentum, volatility and other price-derived indicators) questions on NASDAQ-100 companies over 2015 to 2025; without retrieval, each model self-selecting its best answer across the no-retrieval TELeR prompt levels L1 to L4; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2030. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5 Mini27.8#176
2Gemini 2.5 Flash Lite26.4#413
3Llama 3.3 70B Instruct25#520
4DeepSeek R124.8#245
5Qwen 2.5 32B Instruct24.8#491
6DeepSeek R1 Distill Llama 70B24.6#582
7Gemini 2.5 Flash24.1#237
8Phi-423.6#701
9Llama 3.1 8B Instruct23.2#1018
10DeepSeek R1 Distill Qwen 32B21.6#640
11DeepSeek R1 Distill Qwen 14B21#828

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=fintradebench-trading-signals · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.